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0e1f616
(Get the code!)
This happened to me on a UNR system. I attempted do-release-upgrade on a Lenovo S-10 that had Ubuntu 9.10 Netbook Remix installed. it failed three times at the same place as the OP (though I did not instrument mine to spit out any useful messages, should have thought of that last night). After the three failures, I thought that maybe I was just not updated enough (the Karmic install was a test install, so had not been updated in quite some time).
So I ran apt-get dist-upgrade and it told me that there were 1100+ packages to update. It never mentioned (that I saw, at least) that those 1100+ packages were Lucid packages. So I ran the upgrade and at the end, I had a Lucid package.
So at least the failure point was after everything was updated enough that I could still install Lucid.
I'm attempting a desktop Karmic - Lucid upgrade now on that system with a different HDD to see if I can re-create it.